Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #255 of 1,000

P0774

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 71,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 873

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 127

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 186Deviation R 59

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 127. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 023

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 825 to R 4 508
Finished ahead: 274 / 1,000 (27,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #431 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,75% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.637
Mean bets / session: 2.423
Loss multiplier: 1.0125×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,6% / 25,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 72317 wagers · RTP 90,62%

European RouletteR 8255 wagers · RTP 61,82%

Craps / DiceR 6744 wagers · RTP 97,03%

BlackjackR 6184 wagers · RTP 103,24%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6024 wagers · RTP 129,46%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4603 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 4273 wagers · RTP 311,94%

Three-Reel SlotR 3292 wagers · RTP 76,14%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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