Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #386 of 1,000

P0775

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 57,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 249

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 751

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 148Deviation -R 603

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 751. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 936

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 376 to R 3 620
Finished ahead: 258 / 1,000 (25,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #421 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,19% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.684
Mean bets / session: 2.481
Loss multiplier: 1.0122×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,7% / 25,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 18311 wagers · RTP 124,01%

Three-Reel SlotR 9799 wagers · RTP 49,28%

BaccaratR 8638 wagers · RTP 77,17%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3263 wagers · RTP 115,56%

CrashR 2322 wagers · RTP 60,88%

Craps / DiceR 2062 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1051 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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