Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #540 of 1,000

P0779

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 21,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 839

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 161

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 317Deviation -R 1 844

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 161. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 252

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 008 to R 7 143
Finished ahead: 257 / 1,000 (25,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #457 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,83% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.969
Mean bets / session: 4.501
Loss multiplier: 1.0152×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,0% / 17,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 89825 wagers · RTP 90,78%

European RouletteR 1 69622 wagers · RTP 47,11%

CrashR 1 50920 wagers · RTP 105,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 86211 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 6078 wagers · RTP 112,52%

Lottery / JackpotR 5057 wagers · RTP 81,58%

Craps / DiceR 4416 wagers · RTP 66,21%

American RouletteR 3875 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3244 wagers · RTP 176,49%

Three-Reel SlotR 1502 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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