Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #384 of 1,000

P0780

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 67,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 263

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 737

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 236Deviation -R 501

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 737. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 299

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 641 to R 3 015
Finished ahead: 188 / 1,000 (18,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #466 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,14% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.711
Mean bets / session: 2.883
Loss multiplier: 1.002×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,2% / 12,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 60315 wagers · RTP 40,80%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8438 wagers · RTP 167,48%

BaccaratR 7577 wagers · RTP 99,87%

CrashR 7407 wagers · RTP 120,98%

BlackjackR 4154 wagers · RTP 50,12%

Craps / DiceR 3143 wagers · RTP 137,58%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2072 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1972 wagers · RTP 143,15%

Three-Reel SlotR 951 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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