Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #374 of 1,000

P0784

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 46,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 345

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 655

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 98Deviation -R 557

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 655. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 587

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 578 to R 1 868
Finished ahead: 247 / 1,000 (24,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #368 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,01% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.622
Mean bets / session: 2.04
Loss multiplier: 1.0011×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,4% / 23,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 7758 wagers · RTP 62,58%

Three-Reel SlotR 4955 wagers · RTP 40,81%

European RouletteR 3894 wagers · RTP 125,45%

Craps / DiceR 2032 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1882 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 981 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 881 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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