Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #680 of 1,000

P0785

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 5,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 5 823

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 177

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 348Deviation -R 3 829

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 177. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 845

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 195 to R 8 325
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #528 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.8
Mean bets / session: 3.854
Loss multiplier: 1.0015×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,5% / 18,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 00517 wagers · RTP 90,31%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 92616 wagers · RTP 39,80%

European RouletteR 1 68114 wagers · RTP 21,42%

Craps / DiceR 7306 wagers · RTP 98,90%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5204 wagers · RTP 53,08%

CrashR 4994 wagers · RTP 91,38%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4984 wagers · RTP 44,23%

Lottery / JackpotR 4945 wagers · RTP 40,49%

American RouletteR 3943 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3623 wagers · RTP 33,15%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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