Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #414 of 1,000

P0788

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 20,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 981

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 019

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 115Deviation -R 905

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 019. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 538

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 407 to R 1 974
Finished ahead: 241 / 1,000 (24,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #360 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.652
Mean bets / session: 2.555
Loss multiplier: 1.0129×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,0% / 14,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 4747 wagers · RTP 44,30%

BaccaratR 4196 wagers · RTP 32,46%

Craps / DiceR 3295 wagers · RTP 116,72%

Lottery / JackpotR 2674 wagers · RTP 53,93%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2143 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2003 wagers · RTP 156,00%

CrashR 1382 wagers · RTP 64,31%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1302 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1292 wagers · RTP 48,84%

BlackjackR 571 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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