Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #105 of 1,000

P0789

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 90,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 12 711

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 711

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 860Deviation R 3 571

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 2 711. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 584

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 929 to R 4 602
Finished ahead: 244 / 1,000 (24,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #502 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,23% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.967
Mean bets / session: 3.282
Loss multiplier: 1.003×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,9% / 19,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 92621 wagers · RTP 169,17%

CrashR 2 54318 wagers · RTP 73,64%

European RouletteR 1 70312 wagers · RTP 138,64%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9647 wagers · RTP 175,89%

BlackjackR 8526 wagers · RTP 96,71%

Three-Reel SlotR 6985 wagers · RTP 117,12%

Craps / DiceR 5544 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 4293 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4113 wagers · RTP 163,02%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 250,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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