Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #57 of 1,000

P0790

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 98,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 18 284

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 8 284

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 685Deviation R 8 969

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 8 284. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 998

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 562 to R 5 316
Finished ahead: 165 / 1,000 (16,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #543 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,94% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.108
Mean bets / session: 3.453
Loss multiplier: 1.0143×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,5% / 25,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3 23721 wagers · RTP 107,75%

European RouletteR 2 86820 wagers · RTP 21,41%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 53916 wagers · RTP 11,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2439 wagers · RTP 1 005,23%

CrashR 1 0597 wagers · RTP 142,47%

Craps / DiceR 9547 wagers · RTP 154,93%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 7135 wagers · RTP 178,96%

Three-Reel SlotR 6475 wagers · RTP 28,21%

American RouletteR 5234 wagers · RTP 141,68%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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