Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #206 of 1,000

P0791

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 74,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 121

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 121

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 435Deviation R 556

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 121. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 643

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 889 to R 5 306
Finished ahead: 266 / 1,000 (26,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #506 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.041
Mean bets / session: 3.626
Loss multiplier: 1.0012×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,0% / 22,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 5 23838 wagers · RTP 152,58%

BaccaratR 2 38416 wagers · RTP 125,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2809 wagers · RTP 53,13%

CrashR 1 1298 wagers · RTP 76,24%

American RouletteR 1 0077 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7305 wagers · RTP 28,83%

Three-Reel SlotR 4493 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2612 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1721 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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