Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #348 of 1,000

P0792

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 67,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 458

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 542

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 480Deviation -R 62

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 542. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 655

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 810 to R 5 915
Finished ahead: 276 / 1,000 (27,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #506 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.05
Mean bets / session: 2.869
Loss multiplier: 1.0124×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,2% / 20,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 16114 wagers · RTP 130,68%

European RouletteR 1 84912 wagers · RTP 73,99%

American RouletteR 1 53310 wagers · RTP 130,27%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0457 wagers · RTP 99,74%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9486 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 8676 wagers · RTP 42,10%

Three-Reel SlotR 7575 wagers · RTP 107,46%

Craps / DiceR 6304 wagers · RTP 50,79%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 166,67%

BlackjackR 4483 wagers · RTP 126,34%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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