Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #385 of 1,000

P0794

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 49,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 254

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 746

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 152Deviation -R 595

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 746. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 731

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 126 to R 2 931
Finished ahead: 280 / 1,000 (28,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #390 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,20% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.712
Mean bets / session: 2.546
Loss multiplier: 1.0177×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,8% / 25,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 56123 wagers · RTP 74,35%

European RouletteR 1 20211 wagers · RTP 99,42%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4544 wagers · RTP 121,64%

CrashR 4444 wagers · RTP 106,59%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1111 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1011 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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