Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #164 of 1,000

P0795

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 78,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 499

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 499

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 187Deviation R 687

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 499. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 172

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 732 to R 4 465
Finished ahead: 263 / 1,000 (26,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #448 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,12% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.69
Mean bets / session: 3.136
Loss multiplier: 1.017×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,3% / 17,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 05418 wagers · RTP 83,50%

European RouletteR 1 11910 wagers · RTP 224,66%

Three-Reel SlotR 6806 wagers · RTP 51,32%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3423 wagers · RTP 50,39%

Craps / DiceR 3153 wagers · RTP 69,84%

Lottery / JackpotR 2883 wagers · RTP 69,44%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2422 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2132 wagers · RTP 169,01%

American RouletteR 1111 wagers · RTP 300,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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