Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #198 of 1,000

P0797

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 79,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 166

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 166

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 345Deviation R 511

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 166. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 265

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 997 to R 4 662
Finished ahead: 228 / 1,000 (22,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #458 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,25% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.873
Mean bets / session: 2.923
Loss multiplier: 1.0124×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,6% / 24,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 38819 wagers · RTP 64,03%

European RouletteR 1 28511 wagers · RTP 46,85%

Craps / DiceR 9738 wagers · RTP 187,77%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9648 wagers · RTP 88,44%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7736 wagers · RTP 89,26%

BlackjackR 5775 wagers · RTP 19,93%

CrashR 4964 wagers · RTP 60,74%

American RouletteR 4574 wagers · RTP 544,20%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1251 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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