Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #536 of 1,000

P0798

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 23,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 851

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 149

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 319Deviation -R 1 830

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 149. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 200

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 090 to R 4 943
Finished ahead: 285 / 1,000 (28,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #452 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.652
Mean bets / session: 4.41
Loss multiplier: 1.017×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 8,3% / 15,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 80618 wagers · RTP 90,78%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 59515 wagers · RTP 131,83%

European RouletteR 1 51514 wagers · RTP 28,51%

BlackjackR 1 0369 wagers · RTP 55,31%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0169 wagers · RTP 34,84%

Craps / DiceR 7047 wagers · RTP 132,95%

CrashR 4614 wagers · RTP 32,81%

American RouletteR 3964 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3103 wagers · RTP 226,45%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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