Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #88 of 1,000

P0799

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 93,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 13 998

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 3 998

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 398Deviation R 4 396

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 3 998. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 445

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 478 to R 5 044
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #481 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.658
Mean bets / session: 3.86
Loss multiplier: 1.0023×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 8,7% / 12,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3 10614 wagers · RTP 96,50%

European RouletteR 2 59812 wagers · RTP 344,50%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 3166 wagers · RTP 33,43%

CrashR 1 3126 wagers · RTP 56,23%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 1265 wagers · RTP 65,64%

American RouletteR 8834 wagers · RTP 125,82%

Craps / DiceR 6623 wagers · RTP 133,84%

BlackjackR 4522 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2161 wagers · RTP 50,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies