Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #495 of 1,000

P0800

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 54,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 211

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 789

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 536Deviation -R 1 253

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 789. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 920

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 712 to R 4 281
Finished ahead: 200 / 1,000 (20,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #538 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,12% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.117
Mean bets / session: 2.994
Loss multiplier: 1.0108×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,0% / 24,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 86620 wagers · RTP 94,91%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 85520 wagers · RTP 29,87%

BaccaratR 1 75018 wagers · RTP 108,74%

BlackjackR 8649 wagers · RTP 86,81%

CrashR 4945 wagers · RTP 69,48%

Three-Reel SlotR 3954 wagers · RTP 27,59%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2973 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1762 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 1742 wagers · RTP 143,10%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1732 wagers · RTP 129,57%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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