Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #557 of 1,000

P0801

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 64,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 626

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 374

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 817Deviation -R 1 556

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 374. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 4 834

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 359 to R 30 416
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #745 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 7,90% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.734
Mean bets / session: 2.881
Loss multiplier: 1.1272×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,5% / 46,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 49211 wagers · RTP 85,42%

American RouletteR 4 0806 wagers · RTP 151,32%

European RouletteR 3 2918 wagers · RTP 51,60%

BaccaratR 1 8782 wagers · RTP 50,00%

CrashR 1 8274 wagers · RTP 78,13%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 60,00%

BlackjackR 9391 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8194 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 4121 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2893 wagers · RTP 69,20%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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