Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #78 of 1,000

P0805

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 84,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 15 076

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 5 076

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 452Deviation R 6 528

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 5 076. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 6 094

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 491 to R 23 916
Finished ahead: 241 / 1,000 (24,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #797 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 6,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.849
Mean bets / session: 4.183
Loss multiplier: 1.1168×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,0% / 75,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 23916 wagers · RTP 108,97%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5 12221 wagers · RTP 8,92%

American RouletteR 3 8059 wagers · RTP 169,20%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 50014 wagers · RTP 250,00%

European RouletteR 2 3905 wagers · RTP 37,57%

BlackjackR 2 1434 wagers · RTP 215,82%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 60016 wagers · RTP 75,00%

BaccaratR 1 3843 wagers · RTP 123,89%

Craps / DiceR 6781 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 3901 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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