Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #95 of 1,000

P0813

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 91,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 13 395

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 3 395

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 577Deviation R 3 972

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 3 395. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 416

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 323 to R 6 758
Finished ahead: 172 / 1,000 (17,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #590 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.288
Mean bets / session: 2.584
Loss multiplier: 1.0299×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,7% / 73,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 34222 wagers · RTP 34,95%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 01119 wagers · RTP 72,73%

BlackjackR 1 99212 wagers · RTP 101,18%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2129 wagers · RTP 553,71%

BaccaratR 9527 wagers · RTP 133,35%

Craps / DiceR 8816 wagers · RTP 73,33%

European RouletteR 7395 wagers · RTP 106,36%

American RouletteR 5884 wagers · RTP 134,69%

Lottery / JackpotR 4245 wagers · RTP 47,17%

CrashR 2472 wagers · RTP 406,88%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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