Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #973 of 1,000

P0819

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 5,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 992

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 938Deviation -R 9 054

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 992. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 9 543

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 993 to R 26 185
Finished ahead: 207 / 1,000 (20,7%)
At least one ruin: 26 / 1,000 (2,6%)
Median rank: #920 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 8,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.399
Mean bets / session: 4.06
Loss multiplier: 1.1658×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,7% / 56,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 68528 wagers · RTP 17,06%

CrashR 3 24032 wagers · RTP 70,45%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 94829 wagers · RTP 19,10%

European RouletteR 2 0527 wagers · RTP 14,33%

BlackjackR 1 91612 wagers · RTP 140,79%

Craps / DiceR 8816 wagers · RTP 0,57%

American RouletteR 8106 wagers · RTP 0,74%

BaccaratR 77611 wagers · RTP 26,29%

Three-Reel SlotR 65814 wagers · RTP 49,09%

Lottery / JackpotR 31413 wagers · RTP 90,45%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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