Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #919 of 1,000

P0826

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 22,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 697

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 303

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 155Deviation -R 8 148

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 303. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 6 587

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 835 to R 30 894
Finished ahead: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #815 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 8,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.346
Mean bets / session: 2.276
Loss multiplier: 1.2447×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,3% / 68,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7 16333 wagers · RTP 20,06%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 06720 wagers · RTP 130,34%

BaccaratR 2 9066 wagers · RTP 107,33%

CrashR 2 8127 wagers · RTP 43,28%

European RouletteR 2 3193 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 6574 wagers · RTP 116,63%

American RouletteR 1 4286 wagers · RTP 19,75%

Three-Reel SlotR 8404 wagers · RTP 29,76%

Lottery / JackpotR 5596 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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