Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #935 of 1,000

P0832

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 46,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 352

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 648

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 005Deviation -R 8 643

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 648. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 9 467

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 990 to R 33 070
Finished ahead: 229 / 1,000 (22,9%)
At least one ruin: 9 / 1,000 (0,9%)
Median rank: #918 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 8,92% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.36
Mean bets / session: 3.656
Loss multiplier: 1.1503×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,0% / 63,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 6 21222 wagers · RTP 32,79%

BaccaratR 3 49313 wagers · RTP 80,60%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 26721 wagers · RTP 55,10%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 46813 wagers · RTP 54,65%

BlackjackR 2 3859 wagers · RTP 108,51%

CrashR 1 8587 wagers · RTP 11,50%

European RouletteR 1 6866 wagers · RTP 93,42%

Craps / DiceR 9987 wagers · RTP 62,73%

Three-Reel SlotR 89410 wagers · RTP 153,64%

Lottery / JackpotR 7649 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies