Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #950 of 1,000

P0854

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 4,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 89

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 911

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 835Deviation -R 9 077

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 911. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 7 483

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 909 to R 28 483
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #845 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 8,91% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.132
Mean bets / session: 3.352
Loss multiplier: 1.0446×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,8% / 47,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 8 42921 wagers · RTP 41,12%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 79020 wagers · RTP 186,14%

American RouletteR 3 0169 wagers · RTP 28,35%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 94919 wagers · RTP 9,83%

BlackjackR 2 2075 wagers · RTP 84,19%

European RouletteR 1 4355 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 9107 wagers · RTP 21,04%

CrashR 6454 wagers · RTP 17,44%

Craps / DiceR 3993 wagers · RTP 19,05%

Lottery / JackpotR 351 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies