Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #932 of 1,000

P0872

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 7,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 409

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 591

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 365Deviation -R 8 226

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 591. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 6 282

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 662 to R 28 080
Finished ahead: 239 / 1,000 (23,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #808 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 5,14% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.359
Mean bets / session: 3.55
Loss multiplier: 1.1913×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 47,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 6 56035 wagers · RTP 78,13%

American RouletteR 4 63122 wagers · RTP 66,68%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 55723 wagers · RTP 10,49%

European RouletteR 2 88411 wagers · RTP 33,91%

BaccaratR 2 14611 wagers · RTP 133,50%

Craps / DiceR 1 98110 wagers · RTP 111,86%

CrashR 1 6177 wagers · RTP 16,84%

BlackjackR 1 4998 wagers · RTP 80,72%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 13315 wagers · RTP 52,96%

Three-Reel SlotR 6615 wagers · RTP 52,95%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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