Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #926 of 1,000

P0876

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 31,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 620

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 380

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 404Deviation -R 7 976

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 380. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 8 563

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 860 to R 29 549
Finished ahead: 217 / 1,000 (21,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #883 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 5,25% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.249
Mean bets / session: 3.851
Loss multiplier: 1.1165×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,7% / 77,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8 31746 wagers · RTP 10,73%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 05322 wagers · RTP 68,34%

Craps / DiceR 4 22017 wagers · RTP 160,28%

European RouletteR 2 3869 wagers · RTP 61,06%

American RouletteR 2 1749 wagers · RTP 52,90%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 27213 wagers · RTP 47,17%

BlackjackR 1 0866 wagers · RTP 126,15%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0105 wagers · RTP 43,86%

CrashR 3143 wagers · RTP 102,71%

BaccaratR 431 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies