Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #905 of 1,000

P0879

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 25,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 1 020

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 980

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 082Deviation -R 7 898

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 980. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 7 223

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 618 to R 25 476
Finished ahead: 198 / 1,000 (19,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #837 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,67% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.366
Mean bets / session: 2.964
Loss multiplier: 1.2463×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,1% / 42,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 3 53521 wagers · RTP 79,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 12620 wagers · RTP 8,54%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 96417 wagers · RTP 81,32%

BaccaratR 2 0659 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 57011 wagers · RTP 6,11%

American RouletteR 1 1666 wagers · RTP 16,12%

Lottery / JackpotR 5948 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 5595 wagers · RTP 226,30%

BlackjackR 5283 wagers · RTP 93,56%

Three-Reel SlotR 4202 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies