Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #726 of 1,000

P0880

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 58,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 5 207

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 793

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 366Deviation -R 3 427

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 793. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 5 744

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 554 to R 25 559
Finished ahead: 191 / 1,000 (19,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #782 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 4,16% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.158
Mean bets / session: 3.21
Loss multiplier: 0.9002×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,7% / 56,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 8 18918 wagers · RTP 131,73%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 23520 wagers · RTP 5,90%

BlackjackR 3 1229 wagers · RTP 53,04%

Craps / DiceR 2 9365 wagers · RTP 122,00%

European RouletteR 2 9228 wagers · RTP 29,77%

CrashR 2 1975 wagers · RTP 84,15%

BaccaratR 2 0375 wagers · RTP 136,08%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6797 wagers · RTP 80,88%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 25,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies