Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #25 of 1,000

P0882

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 94,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 30 275

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 20 275

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 237Deviation R 21 512

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 20 275. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 4 091

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 782 to R 22 565
Finished ahead: 235 / 1,000 (23,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #708 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 6,23% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.626
Mean bets / session: 2.335
Loss multiplier: 1.0248×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,2% / 47,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 8 5429 wagers · RTP 388,15%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 00014 wagers · RTP 80,45%

CrashR 2 5005 wagers · RTP 65,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 87,50%

European RouletteR 1 9922 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 9922 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BaccaratR 9961 wagers · RTP 195,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies