Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #103 of 1,000

P0885

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 83,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 12 771

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 771

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 578Deviation R 3 349

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 2 771. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 896

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 170 to R 11 289
Finished ahead: 246 / 1,000 (24,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #629 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,65% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.901
Mean bets / session: 2.134
Loss multiplier: 1.1025×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,9% / 74,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 92110 wagers · RTP 21,29%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 1868 wagers · RTP 63,05%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 1589 wagers · RTP 23,17%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 550,00%

BaccaratR 1 4825 wagers · RTP 175,06%

American RouletteR 1 1154 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 9333 wagers · RTP 108,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

BlackjackR 2661 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1521 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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