Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #911 of 1,000

P0887

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 19,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 929

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 071

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 412Deviation -R 7 660

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 071. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 7 318

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 602 to R 26 185
Finished ahead: 222 / 1,000 (22,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #842 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 6,06% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.23
Mean bets / session: 4.154
Loss multiplier: 0.9231×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,2% / 41,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 9 65533 wagers · RTP 114,71%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7 07735 wagers · RTP 40,62%

Craps / DiceR 5 94921 wagers · RTP 81,80%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 30712 wagers · RTP 60,92%

CrashR 1 6227 wagers · RTP 27,99%

American RouletteR 1 5924 wagers · RTP 68,78%

BaccaratR 1 2406 wagers · RTP 56,81%

BlackjackR 1 2257 wagers · RTP 53,71%

Lottery / JackpotR 8709 wagers · RTP 22,99%

European RouletteR 8683 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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