Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #784 of 1,000

P0891

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 49,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 3 997

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 003

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 190Deviation -R 4 813

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 003. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 5 878

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 519 to R 27 362
Finished ahead: 257 / 1,000 (25,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #786 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 6,00% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.347
Mean bets / session: 2.746
Loss multiplier: 0.9778×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 58,0% / 65,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 6 85219 wagers · RTP 97,99%

European RouletteR 5 83514 wagers · RTP 61,97%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 27218 wagers · RTP 5,85%

BaccaratR 2 4238 wagers · RTP 101,86%

Craps / DiceR 2 3006 wagers · RTP 78,61%

CrashR 2 2316 wagers · RTP 122,98%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 5006 wagers · RTP 50,00%

BlackjackR 8392 wagers · RTP 92,25%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 4992 wagers · RTP 425,65%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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