Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #142 of 1,000

P0892

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 76,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 11 031

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 031

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 094Deviation R 2 125

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 1 031. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 4 819

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 372 to R 28 051
Finished ahead: 267 / 1,000 (26,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #745 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 8,62% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.143
Mean bets / session: 2.7
Loss multiplier: 0.9613×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,3% / 97,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 6 35216 wagers · RTP 99,61%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 75019 wagers · RTP 10,53%

American RouletteR 3 4979 wagers · RTP 353,16%

BlackjackR 3 1768 wagers · RTP 100,00%

CrashR 3 1768 wagers · RTP 56,25%

European RouletteR 2 3826 wagers · RTP 33,33%

BaccaratR 1 3784 wagers · RTP 69,75%

Craps / DiceR 1 1913 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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