Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #553 of 1,000

P0893

Variable / random staking. The visible result sits at the 55,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 670

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 330

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 507Deviation -R 1 823

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 330. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 578

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 674 to R 9 438
Finished ahead: 178 / 1,000 (17,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #606 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.725
Mean bets / session: 4.115
Loss multiplier: 0.9033×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,4% / 54,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 3 18723 wagers · RTP 90,98%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 85715 wagers · RTP 66,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 59411 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1 0135 wagers · RTP 75,02%

American RouletteR 8255 wagers · RTP 181,33%

BaccaratR 6945 wagers · RTP 129,97%

Craps / DiceR 5985 wagers · RTP 167,89%

European RouletteR 5504 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 4454 wagers · RTP 72,25%

Lottery / JackpotR 1772 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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