Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #70 of 1,000

P0920

Random control. The visible result sits at the 97,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 15 737

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 5 737

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 580Deviation R 6 317

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 5 737. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 392

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 642 to R 3 272
Finished ahead: 192 / 1,000 (19,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #471 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,55% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.271
Mean bets / session: 3.287
Loss multiplier: 0.969×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 30,2% / 109,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 1 61415 wagers · RTP 87,92%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 27712 wagers · RTP 137,37%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 24913 wagers · RTP 35,71%

American RouletteR 1 17712 wagers · RTP 88,45%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 14212 wagers · RTP 798,16%

Craps / DiceR 1 03811 wagers · RTP 65,41%

CrashR 98011 wagers · RTP 52,14%

Lottery / JackpotR 80310 wagers · RTP 29,64%

European RouletteR 7778 wagers · RTP 67,95%

BaccaratR 3514 wagers · RTP 117,95%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies