Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #393 of 1,000

P0923

Random control. The visible result sits at the 70,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 205

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 795

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 470Deviation R 675

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 795. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 5 293

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 395 to R 21 073
Finished ahead: 277 / 1,000 (27,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #764 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 7,29% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.838
Mean bets / session: 4.347
Loss multiplier: 0.8645×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,6% / 80,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 54513 wagers · RTP 63,46%

BlackjackR 5 19812 wagers · RTP 124,64%

BaccaratR 4 7489 wagers · RTP 38,98%

European RouletteR 4 73311 wagers · RTP 206,47%

Craps / DiceR 4 4919 wagers · RTP 91,87%

American RouletteR 3 0258 wagers · RTP 42,78%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 34610 wagers · RTP 122,55%

CrashR 2 2615 wagers · RTP 121,02%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 40,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies