Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #431 of 1,000

P0948

Random control. The visible result sits at the 40,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 854

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 146

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 268Deviation -R 879

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 146. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 938

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 209 to R 4 318
Finished ahead: 243 / 1,000 (24,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #414 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,77% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.347
Mean bets / session: 1.571
Loss multiplier: 1.0193×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,9% / 47,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 8189 wagers · RTP 142,97%

BlackjackR 7767 wagers · RTP 51,03%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6667 wagers · RTP 74,85%

Craps / DiceR 6267 wagers · RTP 188,50%

CrashR 5667 wagers · RTP 16,96%

American RouletteR 4156 wagers · RTP 23,13%

BaccaratR 4145 wagers · RTP 141,73%

Lottery / JackpotR 3755 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2813 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2323 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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