Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #232 of 1,000

P0964

Random control. The visible result sits at the 73,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 977

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 23

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 326Deviation R 303

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 23. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 217

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 135 to R 5 135
Finished ahead: 259 / 1,000 (25,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #452 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.764
Mean bets / session: 1.613
Loss multiplier: 1.008×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 63,1% / 77,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 1 2526 wagers · RTP 85,78%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8883 wagers · RTP 63,55%

CrashR 6784 wagers · RTP 216,52%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 5843 wagers · RTP 184,93%

BaccaratR 5553 wagers · RTP 103,30%

Craps / DiceR 5474 wagers · RTP 77,88%

European RouletteR 4293 wagers · RTP 75,52%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 100,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1851 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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