Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #331 of 1,000

P0975

Random control. The visible result sits at the 40,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 550

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 450

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 72Deviation -R 377

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 450. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 358

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 830 to R 1 351
Finished ahead: 224 / 1,000 (22,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #328 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.878
Mean bets / session: 1.187
Loss multiplier: 0.8718×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,0% / 90,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2745 wagers · RTP 87,04%

European RouletteR 2426 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2093 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 1472 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1364 wagers · RTP 141,91%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1232 wagers · RTP 87,72%

Lottery / JackpotR 1082 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 911 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 271 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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