Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #413 of 1,000

P0983

Random control. The visible result sits at the 43,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 005

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 995

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 173Deviation -R 822

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 995. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 866

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 944 to R 3 109
Finished ahead: 238 / 1,000 (23,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #409 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,71% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.567
Mean bets / session: 3.152
Loss multiplier: 1.0945×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,2% / 36,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 7178 wagers · RTP 115,48%

Craps / DiceR 6639 wagers · RTP 132,13%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5605 wagers · RTP 62,11%

BlackjackR 52010 wagers · RTP 67,31%

Three-Reel SlotR 4705 wagers · RTP 30,43%

European RouletteR 4225 wagers · RTP 89,57%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4047 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 3926 wagers · RTP 66,16%

CrashR 2434 wagers · RTP 103,40%

Lottery / JackpotR 371 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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