Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #417 / 1,000

P0011

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 39,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 968

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 032

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 298Deviation -R 734

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 032. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 815

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 945 to R 1 748
Finished ahead: 255 / 1,000 (25,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #400 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,21% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.877
Mean bets / session: 5.98
Loss multiplier: 1.0242×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,4% / 37,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 907100 wagers · RTP 118,51%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 08556 wagers · RTP 60,32%

Lottery / JackpotR 57530 wagers · RTP 14,26%

Virtual Sports BettingR 36519 wagers · RTP 49,82%

CrashR 36018 wagers · RTP 88,96%

BlackjackR 32917 wagers · RTP 94,83%

American RouletteR 27714 wagers · RTP 92,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 25713 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 23812 wagers · RTP 124,37%

Craps / DiceR 22111 wagers · RTP 99,55%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies