Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #581 / 1,000

P0015

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 11,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 405

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 595

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 360Deviation -R 2 235

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 595. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 027

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 022 to R 3 708
Finished ahead: 289 / 1,000 (28,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #431 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.049
Mean bets / session: 4.073
Loss multiplier: 1.0243×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 51,6% / 44,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 2 91469 wagers · RTP 55,82%

European RouletteR 1 77743 wagers · RTP 65,39%

BlackjackR 1 01724 wagers · RTP 107,52%

Virtual Sports BettingR 62315 wagers · RTP 81,62%

Craps / DiceR 54213 wagers · RTP 92,99%

CrashR 50912 wagers · RTP 102,41%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 50612 wagers · RTP 17,79%

BaccaratR 43510 wagers · RTP 116,55%

Lottery / JackpotR 41710 wagers · RTP 40,77%

American RouletteR 381 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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