Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #329 / 1,000

P0018

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 68,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 572

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 428

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 474Deviation R 47

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 428. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 134

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 865 to R 2 853
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #442 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.99
Mean bets / session: 4.496
Loss multiplier: 1.0301×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,4% / 49,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 1 97355 wagers · RTP 106,51%

European RouletteR 1 83753 wagers · RTP 81,71%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 30336 wagers · RTP 110,58%

Lottery / JackpotR 81723 wagers · RTP 26,44%

Craps / DiceR 71721 wagers · RTP 145,33%

CrashR 47413 wagers · RTP 90,51%

BlackjackR 38811 wagers · RTP 125,26%

American RouletteR 3369 wagers · RTP 77,68%

BaccaratR 3209 wagers · RTP 141,25%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2607 wagers · RTP 26,15%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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