Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #357 / 1,000

P0038

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 59,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 433

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 567

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 404Deviation -R 164

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 567. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 866

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 315 to R 2 569
Finished ahead: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #410 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.17
Mean bets / session: 5.076
Loss multiplier: 1.0302×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,9% / 38,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 97971 wagers · RTP 130,22%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 78663 wagers · RTP 60,81%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 70261 wagers · RTP 108,71%

Lottery / JackpotR 58721 wagers · RTP 48,04%

Craps / DiceR 50618 wagers · RTP 113,44%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 46417 wagers · RTP 6,03%

BaccaratR 45816 wagers · RTP 114,09%

CrashR 41314 wagers · RTP 148,37%

BlackjackR 2429 wagers · RTP 76,03%

American RouletteR 1957 wagers · RTP 24,62%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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