Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #184 / 1,000

P0047

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 78,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 268

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 268

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 312Deviation R 580

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 268. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 978

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 321 to R 2 702
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #420 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,33% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.998
Mean bets / session: 4.459
Loss multiplier: 1.0378×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,9% / 51,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 46347 wagers · RTP 97,47%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 45647 wagers · RTP 230,39%

Craps / DiceR 1 04234 wagers · RTP 94,24%

BlackjackR 71323 wagers · RTP 87,73%

Lottery / JackpotR 55718 wagers · RTP 12,21%

BaccaratR 47516 wagers · RTP 60,88%

American RouletteR 43614 wagers · RTP 16,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 43514 wagers · RTP 7,13%

CrashR 2849 wagers · RTP 108,01%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2719 wagers · RTP 91,27%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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