Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #489 / 1,000

P0050

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 20,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 238

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 762

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 394Deviation -R 1 368

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 762. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 026

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 258 to R 1 916
Finished ahead: 211 / 1,000 (21,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #430 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.712
Mean bets / session: 4.563
Loss multiplier: 1.0197×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,4% / 50,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 1 40250 wagers · RTP 70,61%

European RouletteR 1 28747 wagers · RTP 88,11%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 02237 wagers · RTP 5,87%

American RouletteR 50518 wagers · RTP 185,94%

BaccaratR 43215 wagers · RTP 73,38%

Virtual Sports BettingR 39014 wagers · RTP 106,47%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 33212 wagers · RTP 54,82%

Craps / DiceR 26210 wagers · RTP 41,60%

BlackjackR 2158 wagers · RTP 22,33%

CrashR 1736 wagers · RTP 36,99%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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