Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #521 / 1,000

P0053

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 18,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 018

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 982

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 328Deviation -R 1 654

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 982. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 954

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 498 to R 3 179
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #422 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.501
Mean bets / session: 5.114
Loss multiplier: 1.0062×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,8% / 48,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 27539 wagers · RTP 57,80%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 14534 wagers · RTP 85,90%

BlackjackR 92529 wagers · RTP 85,62%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 63119 wagers · RTP 5,39%

Craps / DiceR 53517 wagers · RTP 69,53%

Lottery / JackpotR 49815 wagers · RTP 23,69%

BaccaratR 46214 wagers · RTP 125,97%

American RouletteR 32910 wagers · RTP 104,26%

Virtual Sports BettingR 32110 wagers · RTP 102,54%

CrashR 2648 wagers · RTP 42,71%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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