Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #48 / 1,000

P0056

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 98,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 20 314

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 10 314

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 999Deviation R 11 313

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 10 314. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 905

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 082 to R 6 342
Finished ahead: 293 / 1,000 (29,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #538 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,45% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.968
Mean bets / session: 5.779
Loss multiplier: 1.0222×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,4% / 41,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 5 15868 wagers · RTP 149,97%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 90153 wagers · RTP 421,05%

European RouletteR 3 87753 wagers · RTP 47,41%

BaccaratR 1 64822 wagers · RTP 86,10%

CrashR 1 48219 wagers · RTP 38,98%

Craps / DiceR 1 20218 wagers · RTP 72,63%

BlackjackR 1 18816 wagers · RTP 91,92%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 11517 wagers · RTP 8,25%

American RouletteR 1 10915 wagers · RTP 57,62%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 05414 wagers · RTP 128,74%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies