Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #516 / 1,000

P0062

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 6,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 039

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 961

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 223Deviation -R 1 737

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 961. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 807

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 066 to R 2 849
Finished ahead: 261 / 1,000 (26,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #400 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,35% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.954
Mean bets / session: 3.158
Loss multiplier: 1.0252×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,0% / 43,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 06534 wagers · RTP 44,41%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 05934 wagers · RTP 69,41%

American RouletteR 58419 wagers · RTP 79,11%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 49416 wagers · RTP 19,43%

Virtual Sports BettingR 45314 wagers · RTP 74,63%

Lottery / JackpotR 2829 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2498 wagers · RTP 74,30%

BaccaratR 2448 wagers · RTP 107,79%

CrashR 2187 wagers · RTP 16,06%

Craps / DiceR 2167 wagers · RTP 146,30%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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