Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #359 / 1,000

P0077

Small bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 56,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 420

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 580

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 335Deviation -R 245

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 580. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 802

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 248 to R 3 122
Finished ahead: 281 / 1,000 (28,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #398 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.048
Mean bets / session: 4.922
Loss multiplier: 1.0095×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,5% / 41,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 1 31145 wagers · RTP 102,36%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 30744 wagers · RTP 82,06%

European RouletteR 1 18341 wagers · RTP 124,01%

Lottery / JackpotR 64221 wagers · RTP 28,66%

BlackjackR 56119 wagers · RTP 86,81%

CrashR 54218 wagers · RTP 192,39%

Virtual Sports BettingR 52118 wagers · RTP 87,23%

American RouletteR 47416 wagers · RTP 43,25%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 35612 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 29610 wagers · RTP 120,95%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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